Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 7.467060 8.551508 9.754477 11.190635 12.862147 14.750480 17.051432
2025-03-02 5.928575 7.301309 8.949758 11.085148 13.792651 17.130218 21.585490
2025-03-09 4.970328 6.448881 8.329062 10.914573 14.407529 19.004805 25.583408
2025-03-16 4.265565 5.769433 7.771594 10.661219 14.772745 20.484778 29.147175
2025-03-23 3.957504 5.555417 7.772216 11.114732 16.101113 23.382140 35.036754
2025-03-30 3.619423 5.246837 7.586763 11.252651 16.954398 25.656537 40.277398
2025-04-06 3.287989 4.903731 7.301705 11.189151 17.466407 27.438133 44.949442
2025-04-13 2.994168 4.581823 7.006911 11.062954 17.841895 29.016587 49.465885
2025-04-20 2.844887 4.464987 7.010961 11.403237 19.000972 31.999998 56.801258
2025-04-27 2.694030 4.328353 6.965254 11.647782 20.013013 34.836192 64.261683
2025-05-04 2.595438 4.265872 7.031121 12.082533 21.397853 38.488209 73.782966
2025-05-11 2.377968 3.983019 6.697479 11.775009 21.391938 39.561829 78.371137
2025-05-18 2.212121 3.777574 6.483769 11.670881 21.770578 41.444592 84.973348
2025-05-25 2.062122 3.586983 6.278863 11.560872 22.123116 43.316709 91.847156
2025-06-01 1.917716 3.393833 6.051381 11.382294 22.314256 44.875503 98.262408
2025-06-08 1.776044 3.193868 5.793577 11.117019 22.294662 45.982568 103.807451
2025-06-15 1.741100 3.189550 5.902285 11.591897 23.872713 50.720939 118.714282
2025-06-22 1.668402 3.107074 5.852804 11.736330 24.754371 54.024621 130.667605
2025-06-29 1.577801 2.982572 5.710014 11.669830 25.159740 56.285406 140.345808
2025-07-06 1.487663 2.852066 5.544419 11.537675 25.399673 58.183621 149.390900
2025-07-13 1.453629 2.831332 5.600071 11.894039 26.813359 63.106149 167.574302
2025-07-20 1.411545 2.790752 5.610783 12.150169 28.017781 67.671621 185.617830
2025-07-27 1.389504 2.789899 5.704876 12.605576 29.763018 73.867798 209.663906